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hopefully the program knows by now, having experienced it, that you can get wacked pretty hard in conference.
that 1st Tyler year, they went to SLO and Cal Poly hits hard and they just punked Beach and that team was out of it in two weeks. It's a different gritty game once in conference.
on the plus side, this has been a pretty grtty group so far themselves
the top 5-6 teams do have some players that are very solid and some good coaches especially at Northrdge, Sac, and Cal Poly. it won't be a picnic
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This seasons RPI going into conference is the highest it has been in some years. In recent good years it was been at best high 30's to upper 40's. If I remember correctly one of Tyler's teams was around the 40 mark going into conference. Coach Natalie has the team playing well and I am feeling like it's realistic to be looking for a conference championship and a spot in the NCAA tournament. I know let's see how things play out during the first half of conference.
As a comparison, Tyler's SMC team is in the high 240's. I think we are in good hands with Coach Natalie. Previous Message
good news is Wyoming, LMU, & Utah won so helps the Q1/Q2 profile
on the other hand another cluster-f*ck day for the Big West as SB, Sac State, & North (would rather LMU have beat North anyway) all lost games against quality opponents and booted last chances to raise their profile before conference. just dismal. Long Beach will be the only team in conference with a winning record to start conference, lol Previous Message
meant how tough Sac State (good offense ) and Northridge (great defense) will be when Long Beach plays them Previous Message
8-2 is just fantastic, still team will need to improve and goal basically just to win teh Big West and end up as the #1 seed to help their BWCT chances up in SLO
teh Big West unfortunately has had their RPI slip, and especially Poly/UCSB losing to take those two teams from top 100 down below top 150, not a single Big West team in the top 150 RPI (granted RPI early season can change a lot), while Long Beach is at 33
the main benefits to the resume is basically things Beach is 1) winning and winning a lot, as Big West RPI state means wins don't increase, and losses drop 5-7 points, 3 losses means going from 33 to 50 ish and on teh bubble and mercy of a committee.
2) Utah, Wyoming, LMU, Wazzou. the best thing is for all four to contend for their conference, which aside from Utah I think they shoud, and get close or below RPI 50, Utah is at 52, because then Beach gets a desperately need quad 1 win (or two)
2b) UCSB & Poly winning and getting/staying in top 100. can probably not expect any more Quad 1 matches, so at least a couple Big West teams in Quad to and say going 3-1 (or 3-2 with a loss in the BWCT) would be a high percentage quad 2
bound to have some quad 3 loss (above RPI 100),which is ok, unless you get more. 6 total losses is usually good for a Big West at-large, just this year 5 is more along the number given how bad the Big West did last two weeks.
IOTW,getting in at an at-large is hugely difficult, so it's winning the conference and then the BWCT
Quad 1: 0-2 (UCLA)
Quad 2: 4-0 (with 3-0 on the road!)
basically QUad 3 and above it doesn't even matter to committee, it's all consdidered poor scheduling for the P4 driven NCAA. regardless of how touch Sac State or North will be in conference and they will be very competitive and each have some very good players.
at least it's great for what Reagan and the team have done to position this team/program this year with some good National Exposure. I think Long Beach may well show up in the polls this week outside the top 25. They team has earned that respect. and per Knipe, they just need to avoid the noise, which is what this post is lol
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on 9/20/2026, 7:56 pm, in reply to "