Hawaii, LBSU, Penn State, and UCLA have by far and away the best four resumes.

The only shot we don't make the NCAAT is if we, Penn State, AND UCLA all lose in our conference tourneys. Even if this does happen I still think LBSU would just barely sneak in ahead of Penn State. Sure LBSU probably has slightly less than a 50% to win the BWT tourney as I believe Hawaii will get the 1 seed so LBSU will have a tougher road (ie they will likely have to beat UCI which is the only team not named LBSU or Hawaii that is again good in the BW). But I would be shocked if Penn State losses their conference tourney as they went 10-0 in conference matches and 30-1 in conference games. UCLA went 12-0 and 36-3 in the MPSF so they are also heavy favorites.