Long Beach State Athletics!: not a lock

just have to look at last year, when PSU & UCLA lost

could that happen again?

seems less likely since both those teams are improved

HOWEVER

have to remember BYU especially has improved since they played UCLA almost 2 months ago

of course Beach is in if 2 out of 3 of Hawaii, UCLA, & Penn State when their conf tournaments

in a comparison of Penn State vs. Beach, Beach should get in if they beat Irvine next week. HOWEVER, since RPI is uses, the RPI metrics are more favorable to Penn State, plus I'd never trust a committee with the majority members in the east to select Long Beach, especially with the tourny close to Penn State.

so have to approach it as win the BWCT, and if not hope for the best

I think the NCAA would surely want the 4 teams that are so close UCLA, PSU, Hawaii, & Beach in the NCAA tournament

Previous Message

Hawaii, LBSU, Penn State, and UCLA have by far and away the best four resumes.

The only shot we don't make the NCAAT is if we, Penn State, AND UCLA all lose in our conference tourneys. Even if this does happen I still think LBSU would just barely sneak in ahead of Penn State. Sure LBSU probably has slightly less than a 50% to win the BWT tourney as I believe Hawaii will get the 1 seed so LBSU will have a tougher road (ie they will likely have to beat UCI which is the only team not named LBSU or Hawaii that is again good in the BW). But I would be shocked if Penn State losses their conference tourney as they went 10-0 in conference matches and 30-1 in conference games. UCLA went 12-0 and 36-3 in the MPSF so they are also heavy favorites.