We could get another top 5 win over either Hawaii or Irvine. That would give Beach 5 top 5 wins. Currently UCLA has 5 as well (GCU 2x, Irvine 2x, Beach).
UCLA might end up with no more top 5 wins. They have losses to Ohio State & UCSB.
our only losses are to top 5 teams.
it'll be close if both win
If we win teh BWCT and UCLA does not win teh MPSF, Beach will be #1,
not sure it matters all that much 1 or 2, 1 or 2 is important because the #7 & #8 seeds are frankly not good teams, both not even in the top 25, so first round is politely speaking easy compared to having to play the #5 or #6 seeds from at-larges or the MIVA or EIVA
since likely two Big West bids and two MPSF bids, it'll be intereesting if they have the BIg West & MPSF teams on oppposite sides of the bracket, like if we are 2, does Grand Canyon become 3. or if #1, do we possibly end up playing Irvine or Hawaii again as a #4
just woudl seem to be more intersting to have the Big West and MPSF teams on opposite sides of the bracket.
#2 if we win the BWT. (UCLA has more loses than us by they have better metrics and played a way tougher sch so they are basically locked as the 1 seed)
#3 If we don't win the BWT and Grand Canyon wins the MPSFT
Guessing #2 if we lose in the BWT and Grand Canyon loses in the MPSF. But yes if Grand Canyon loses to UCLA in the finals they could always jump up for the 2 seed.
Nightmare scenario. We lose in the BWT semis, Stanford or Pepperdine wins the MPSF, Grand Canyon loses in the MPSF finals. That scenario opens up the possibility of Grand Canyon getting the 2nd at large bid (ULCA is 100% assured a bid and the #1 seed at this point) and LBSU being left out. Granted I don't think that will happen and I also think it would be close enough (basically a coin toss) were the NCAA would just pick LBSU over Grand Canyon cause we are the host. BUT there is a slim chance.
It is important to get the 2 seed over the 3 seed as the top two seeds basically get a bye into the semi (the #8 and #7 seeds are horrible). Where as the #3 seed actually has to play a team in the quarters that at least has the potential to pull and upset.
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