Irvine: 15-5
SB: 13-7
Hawaii: 12-8
Beach: 11-9
UCSD: 9-11
Full: 9-11
Riverside: 10-10
Davis: 9-11
won't bother with the rest, still a month of non-conf and not precise anyway. although since Massey still has a 2022 component, Northridge is probably better, and Riverside worse than Massey. SB should be better as it factors in 2 games without AJ.
it shows the middle is a mess or something like that, other than Irvine and SB being clearly upper tier, which is also what the results and eye test inidcated
based on this.
we would be a 4 seed, playing the winner of 5/8, so two of those teams.
what does it mean? Beach is not nearly good enough and developed enough a team right now. the goal is to really be a top 2 seed, cause the odds this year really stack in your favor. 3rd or 4th seed still can win it, just tougher. 5-8? no way
unlike last year, in reality winning the BWCT from a 6 seed wasn't so bad, and even lower than that had an extra day rest, assuming a lower seed had actually come in not exhausted to begin with.
1 D1 game left, in essence this year the BWCT starts with conference since seeding is so much more magnified this year.
If we win regular season, then winning the BWCT is much more realistic.
from the eye and results test, it's gonna be from Irvine, SB mostly, then Hawaii & Beach, and then maybe the field. any team can lose to the bottom teams like Bake and Poly, as non-conf has shown. there will be a lot of upsets, one of those 10-10 ish teams will likely be better.
11-9 just on the face to many might seem low, just consider the team lost to 3 bad teams so far in non-conference, and can rationalize all those losses, but a team is their record. we didn't blow out any of the bad teams they played so far.
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