Odds wise LBSU had a 70% chance to beat Grand Canyon. We did end up winning and that 70% chance seemed right. Don't get me wrong we were clearly the better team BUT I would not have been shocked if GCU found a way to win.

Odds wise we have a 35% chance to beat UCLA, 35% to beat Hawaii, and 39% to beat Penn State. Those odds might be a tiny be low in my mind but they still seem close to reality. So yeah it is fine to say you should beat a team that you have a 65% chance to beat.

If LBSU doesn't beat UCLA (honestly won't be the end of the world as next year is really the year we should be the favorite for the championship). Just hoping Hawaii can keep the BW a perfect 5/5 in winning the NCAAT finals. Odds say Hawaii has 54% chance to beat Penn State and a 49% chance to beat UCLA.