UCLA is 1-0 vs Princeton, Penn State, even though they lost at home to Princeton, is 2-1. LB didn't play PRinceton, so 0-0
furthermmore, if LB loses, the commmittee may omit USC & Loyola from consideration, LB was 2-0 vs those two, and Penn State didn't play them
furthermore, If LB loses to Hawaii, it's a road loss, making LB 4-4 on the road (the fact 7 of those were against top 10/15 teams won't matter
with PSU beating LB, head to head
the records vs. teams under consideration is basically:
PSU 3-2, LB 3-3
So basically LB would need Stanford to beat Pepperdine, and the committee would need to still consider USC & Loyola, which would bring LB to 6-3, and would make PSU 3-3, therein lies the rub
PSU will have the edge in criteria of 4 categories (road, teams under consideration, Head to head, and possible RPI if LB loses)
so at this point, it is actually pretty much win tonight - it is what it ism it's just the criteria & RPI basis, that drives this
non-conf records, quality wins, etc. - that stuff won't necessarily count. it would depend on the committee to try to 'deep dive' into data, in order to change the logic. wins vs Loyola, Lewis, USC, Santa Barbara basically don't count.
so it's beat Hawaii at this point! Go Beach!
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