I mean they are almost a lock to win their conference tourney and get an auto bid. Set wise they went 16-0 in conference and went 48-4 in games. That is pretty dominate.

The problem is more likely to be Ball State. If they lose to say Loyola in the MIVA finals then they could still have a strong case to get an at large bid.

But honestly I think the ONLY way Long Beach State gets left out is if both UCLA and PSU lose in their conference tourneys.

To me the at large order would be.

1. UCLA
2. Penn State
3. Long Beach State
4. Ball State
5. Hawaii
6. USC

So as long as only 1 of UCLA/Penn State lose in their conference tourney we are fine. But yes I am voting for both Ball State and Penn State to win their conference tourneys which would remove even the possibility of LBSU getting left out.