Valley of the Sun Ultimate Association: Re: Playoff odds

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Re: Playoff odds

Posted by The Bookie on 4/24/2009, 5:22 am, in reply to "Re: Playoff odds"
68.99.248.X

I used your week 10 ratings. To find the probability I calculated the standard deviation of the error of your predicted point differential to the actual point differential. I just looked at the last three weeks and got 6.22. There was also a bias of 3.35, but I ignored that because it would skew the results of games between closely-ranked teams.

Message Thread:

Playoff odds - The Bookie 4/23/2009, 10:10 pm
- Re: Playoff odds - "The Bookie" Convert 4/27/2009, 11:54 am
- Re: Playoff odds - Eric 4/24/2009, 3:34 am
  - Re: Playoff odds - The Bookie 4/24/2009, 5:22 am
    - Re: Playoff odds - Eric 4/24/2009, 11:27 am
      - G.I.G.O. - < nate 4/24/2009, 12:41 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - Eric 4/24/2009, 6:43 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - Kevin 4/24/2009, 2:08 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - jose 4/24/2009, 1:06 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - Ebay 4/24/2009, 2:21 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - Pat 4/24/2009, 8:34 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - jeremy 4/24/2009, 2:55 pm
        
        Re: G.I.G.O. - Eric 4/24/2009, 6:24 pm
    - Woop! Woop! Woop! - Kevin 4/24/2009, 8:22 am
      - Ultimate stat's back in the day - Byron 4/28/2009, 12:58 pm
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