
Posted by The Bookie on 4/23/2009, 10:10 pm
68.99.248.X
The numbers have been run, your fate is set. It's science. You can't argue science. Wait, math is science, right? And statistics...that's kind of science.
Anyways, the gory details: Took Nabity's ratings (at least we can all agree that these are infallable) and ran a Monte Carlo simulation (10,000 simulated playoffs).
The results:
Team_______________Win Pool__Win Semis_Win Finals
Incredible Huck______73.7%_____49.8%_____28.7%
Cowbell____________66.5%_____35.2%_____20.0%
Who Hucks__________74.2%_____44.4%_____25.5%
The Mark of Zorro_____67.7%_____31.8%_____13.2%
Joe Disc-Pack________29.3%_____10.4%______4.3%
Plastic Falls_________17.0%______7.0%______2.9%
Audacity of Ho_______16.7%______7.2%______1.9%
Stimulus Package_____18.0%______5.2%______1.5%
Super Smash Bros._____8.9%______3.2%______0.8%
Champagne Room AS_____8.3%______2.2%______0.4%
Premature Huckulat_____12.1%______2.6%______0.8%
Fade into Bolivian______4.2%______0.8%______0.0%
Si Se Puede__________2.1%______0.1%______0.0%
Mad Bids____________0.6%______0.1%______0.0%
Ho Stack____________0.5%______0.0%______0.0%
Gratuitous Bailout_____0.0%______0.0%______0.0%
Message Thread:
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