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Re: 4A Final Rankings
Posted by Lercher on 2/13/2017, 5:41 pm, in reply to "Re: 4A Final Rankings"
The state results always has signifgicant differences in some weights. The method I use for ranked wrestlers who lose is a combination of factors. In the case of no head-to-head results of wrestlers just below the losing wrestler, the slide to a lower position is more likely as the original ranking was based largely on guesswork. If there are head-to-head results for a foundation of the ranking, the winning wrestler will move above the losing wrestler who is likely to hold the position. The quality of the wrestler causing the "upset" is also a factor.
At state some wrestlers have a break out and over-achieve, while other appear to crash and burn. Rankings are merely a snapshot in time. At regionals we have some examples of over-achievers and crash and burns, the difference being that a poor performance at regionals can be made up at state.
132 is one weight where I expect a different outcome. Jake Treece has much more potential than the #10 spot he now holds. He has had a poor regular season with some injuries, but he could easily make it to the finals. Last year he was one of the over-achievers at state. He may do the same this year.
Otther weights have wrestlers with similar stories.