Next year the top 4 will be pretty even. Ability to win on the road will determine the champ. I dont see anyone running away with it. 11-5 may be enough to get a share of the title.
Whats your take on the impact of missions? BYU opponents complain that they end up with older kids, which is obviously true, but, they are away from competitive hoops for a year. BYU also has to work a more 'new' kids into the team every year (regular new class + whoever is coming back from their mission).