here's why the all the games are so important/heightened impact this year
first round.(as of now)
UCR vs. Hawaii
SB vs. Full
quarters
Beach vs. UCR/Haw winner
Davis vs. SB/Full winner
semis
North vs. Beach quarter winner
Irvine vs. Davis quarter winner
lose to SB, and Beach is 2 or 3 games down in loss column for 2nd seed, and is then at the 5 seed, meaning even if a team wins two games as a 5th seed, that 3rd game is playing a fully rested #1 seed Irvine/etc. in the semis, and playing 4 games in 4 days to win it. not going to happen that way. the regular season is 4th seed or bust.
the 5th-8th seed isn't going to win the Big West tourny
commentary about 'getting to the BWCT' is simply silly, it really is. Beach really needs to have some win streaks NOW to get to that top 2 seed, and at a minimum 4th seed or better. that's probably a 15-5 record at worst to be a top 2 seed, and 13-7, maybe 12-8 for 4th seed.
it's not just the games Beach has lost, it's also that losing to SB means have also lost tie-breaking games to SB/NOrth/SD as well for seeding purposes.
Bake is winless after losing a tough one in OT
Poly is winless
of course things could change, I actually think Bake could pull off some wins to get into 8 or maybe 7 seed.
the problem after tonight is 2 games out of the top 2 seed right now. top 2 seed is so critical. something has to change with consistency with this Beach team, but give SD credit. the team is built on just thinking they can bait other teams into TOs or missed shots without enough foot movement. it sucks
absolute must be a top 4 seed, forget about 5 seed and below aren't winning the BWCT, nada
Beach after tonight will be in 5th, so while SB isn't a must win, well the team is steadily digging itself into mediocrity and the lower tier seeding
have to start winning a series of games, 3 or 4 in a row, has to happen. not this stay around 0.500, Beach was the 2nd place pick and rated #2 in conference just 2 weeks ago.
no sooner does Messiah play better, than LT plays poor and the opponents figure out the 1-3-1 can be had by putting shooters in teh corners, happened with North, SD, Poly. it's pretty clear, the 1-3-1 just is not all that active IMO, Stoud is tall, but not quick.
not sure about Sat. SB struggles but they do pick n roll well with AJ and he'll pick LT apart easily - they don't have the number of 3 pt shooters but do have a couple. will be interesting, SB has won their last two, even if vs. two winless teams, but then Beach conference wins have come against sub 0.500 teams.
this team has to win and find a way to a top 2 seed, and in two weeks the hole could get too big to dig out of with a couple more losses.
AT has to stop picking up early 2nd fouls, and Tsonhonis hasn't hit a 3 in 3 weeks, just lay off the shot, at least other guys hit good 3s today
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